![]() It refers to the percentage of plays that a team drops back out of all of the offensive plays that they run. When you’re looking at the game script table, you’ll see two stats are tracked within each category of game script (leading big, leading, close game, trailing, trailing big): Drop back % and DBOE (drop back over expectation)ĭrop back percentage is fairly simple. What is DBOE? (drop back over expectation) This puts the team down by two scores regardless of where they fall in the range. Trailing Big – The “trailing big” category tracks teams when they are down between 9.0-16.0 points on their opponent. This puts the team down by one score, but by more than a FG, meaning a TD would be needed to tie or take the lead. Trailing – The “trailing” category tracks teams when they are down between 4.0 - 8.0 points on their opponent. This puts the team up by one score, but by more than a FG, meaning the trailing team would need a TD to tie or take the lead.Ĭlose – The “close” category tracks teams when the point differential is at 3.0 points or fewer (within a FG). Leading – The “leading” category tracks teams when they are up between 4.0 - 8.0 points on their opponent. This puts the team up by two scores regardless of where they fall in the range. Leading Big – The “leading big” category tracks teams when they are up between 9.0-16.0 points on their opponent. Teams that drop back over their expected rate in various types of game script situations are considered passing offenses that are more friendly and conducive to supporting higher-end receivers and quarterbacks.īelow are the main game scripts that this table tracks. We can analyze game scripts in numerous ways, but for the purposes of this table, we’ll look specifically at how often teams drop back to pass in specific game script situations (outlined below), as well as their actual drop back rate in relation to their expected drop back rate (DBOE). By analyzing how a team acts within a specific game script, we can glean which teams actually adhere to the belief of passing more when behind and running more when ahead, and which teams buck the trend. Game script analysis, then, refers to analyzing the plays that are being called in these specific game script situations. Teams that are down, especially teams that are down big, have a tendency to pass more. Teams that are up, especially teams that are up big, have a tendency to run more. ![]() ![]() This is important to note as game script often serves as a catalyst for how teams act. When a team is down, that is referred to as a negative game script situation. When a team is up in a game, that is referrred to as a positive game script situation. Game script refers to the state of a game-the specific point differential that determines whether a team is up or down, and how far ahead or behind they are. What is game script, and why is it important? This in turn gives us a better idea of what kind of fantasy output we might expect from their players, depending on the type of game script we are projecting their team to have in the upcoming week. The game script tool uses stats relating to how often teams drop back to pass (specifically drop back % and DROE-drop back over expectation) to show us how each team acts on offense in specific game script situations (positive, negative, and neutral). And more to that point, some teams abide by them far more than others. ![]() Even though it is often considered optimal to pass more when you are down (in a negative game script) and run a little bit more when you are ahead (in a positive game script), not every NFL team necessarily abides by these sentiments. This game script tool is meant to give you an overview of how each team operates inside an NFL game. Only regular season games are included.NFL Game Script/Situational Play Calling Tool The 2023 NFL Offensive Play Selection statistics are a summary of all offensive plays from scrimmage -Įxcluding punts, field goal attempts and plays nullified by penalty. Home > Statistics > 2023 NFL Offensive Play Selection 2023 NFL Offensive Play Selection
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